05/31/2004

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10-Yr Bond : Monthly Cycle Charts

 

The current subscription rate  is US$400 per month or US$1,000 for 3 months. This would include daily, weekly and monthly cycle analyses. Contact Albert Cheung at qindex@hotmail.com for details in payment. 

 

10-Yr Bond (Monthly Cycle) : The key quantized level of my monthly cycle is positioning at 111^14 (location of super magnet) and the critical level is located at 109^21 (neutral position). Initially the market is likely to vibrate around the critical level at 109^21 with an expected magnitude of 108^24 - 110^17. The market will head for the key quantized level at 111^14 if it can overcome the projected resistant point at 110^17. A projected supporting point is positioning at 107^17 as indicated by the difference in the frequency number between 107^27 - 109^21. The lower barrier of my monthly cycle charts is expected at 106^02 // 106^31 and the upper barrier is located at 112^11 - 113^07. The odds are in favour of taking long position on dips as suggested by the distribution profile of my monthly cycle probability chart.

 

... 106^02* // 106^31 - 107^27* - 108^24 - 109^21* - 110^17 - (111^14)* - 112^11 // 113^07* ...

 

Monthly Cycle Frequency Chart of T-Bonds (US, CBOT)

The frequency is a quantified value assigned to each bar. The difference in frequency of two adjacent bars indicates the ease with which the market is expected to move between these two points. The smaller the difference, the easier the movement. 

 

Monthly Cycle Probability Chart of T-Bonds (US, CBOT)

The probability value measures the pull which a projected point exerts on the market. The likelihood of seeing a particular point reached in any projected period is measured by a combination of two factors: the contour of frequency chart and its probability value.

 

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Quantum Index Analysis

The Quantum Index analysis is a new technical technique that I developed ten years ago. This technique is used to forecast the movement of currency rates, prices in bonds, stocks and precious metals. I provided exclusive service (Dollar/Mark, Dollar/Yen, Dollar/Swiss Franc and British Pound) to the Strategic Positioning Unit of Citibank in Hong Kong for two years (1988 - 1990). The system generates a bar chart for each of the above products. This chart indicates the ease of movement between projected chart points for a specific time frame. The system determines a projected range and number of bars to cover this range with a constant increment. The bars are arranged in ascending order along x-axis. A quantified value, frequency (y-axis), is assigned to each bar in the projected range. The difference in frequency value of two adjacent bars indicates the ease with which the market is expected to move between them. The smaller the difference, the easier the movement. The system also assigns a probability value (y-axis) to each bar. The probability value measures the pull exerted by each bar on the market. The likelihood of seeing a particular rate or price reached during any projected period is measured by a combination of two factors: the contour of the frequency chart and its probability value.

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The best entry or exit point is at the extreme end of the normal trading range and can be fine tuned with a weekly chart. If you are interested in subscribing my weekly analysis, please check Services for more details or send me an e-mail. 

 

Albert Cheung (Ph.D.)      E-mail :- qindex@hotmail.com

 

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